Welcome to SCOTUS Watch.


This site is brought to you by Jay Pinho and Victoria Kwan, the co-creators of SCOTUS Map.

What is this?

SCOTUS Watch tracks the public statements made by United States senators about how they plan to vote on the Supreme Court nominee, Brett Kavanaugh, and tallies them into a likely vote count. This tally is based solely on their statements: we do not make estimates or guesses based on a senator's party affiliation or ideology.

Note that this only includes statements made by senators after the identity of the nominee was announced. (So, for example, Senator Doug Jones' statement to CNN on Sunday, July 8th would not count, as Brett Kavanaugh had not yet been announced.)


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357 statements to date (HTML | JSON)

(Statements last updated September 24, 2018 10:54 PM -04:00.)
Nominee needs at least 50 votes*
Definitely Yes - 21👍
Likely Yes - 27🤷‍♂️👍
Likely No - 11🤷‍♂️👎
Definitely No - 33👎

* Although his statements are included on this site, Senator John McCain died on August 25, 2018 and thus he is excluded from the voting intention tallies. His successor, former Arizona senator Jon Kyl, was sworn in on Wednesday, September 5th, 2018. Given his role as Brett Kavanaugh's confirmation 'sherpa', Jon Kyl is considered a likely or definite yes vote for confirmation. Therefore, Brett Kavanaugh will need either a minimum of 50 senators to vote yea, with Vice President Mike Pence casting a tiebreaking vote, or a clean 51-vote majority.
Senators Definitely Yes👍 Likely Yes🤷‍♂️👍 Unknown🤷‍♂️ Likely No🤷‍♂️👎 Definitely No👎 Total
Males 20 24 5 7 21 77
Females 1 3 3 4 12 23
Democrats 0 0 5 11 33 49
Republicans 21 27 3 0 0 51
Next Election in 2018 5 3 5 4 18 35
Next Election in 2020 9 11 2 4 6 32
Next Election in 2022 7 13 1 3 9 33
Sort by: Caucus | Gender | Age | Intent | Next Election | DW-NOMINATE Score | Most Recent Statement | Most Statements

Lamar Alexander (R - TN) Likely Yes

John Barrasso (R - WY) Definitely Yes 2018 election seat

Roy Blunt (R - MO) Likely Yes

John Boozman (R - AR) Definitely Yes

Richard M. Burr (R - NC) Likely Yes

Shelley Moore Capito (R - WV) Likely Yes

Bill Cassidy (R - LA) Likely Yes

Susan Collins (R - ME) Unknown

Bob Corker (R - TN) Likely Yes 2018 election seat

John Cornyn (R - TX) Likely Yes

Tom Cotton (R - AR) Definitely Yes

Michael D. Crapo (R - ID) Definitely Yes

Ted Cruz (R - TX) Likely Yes 2018 election seat

Steve Daines (R - MT) Definitely Yes

Michael B. Enzi (R - WY) Likely Yes

Joni Ernst (R - IA) Likely Yes

Deb Fischer (R - NE) Likely Yes 2018 election seat

Jeff Flake (R - AZ) Unknown 2018 election seat

Cory Gardner (R - CO) Definitely Yes

Lindsey Graham (R - SC) Likely Yes

Charles E. Grassley (R - IA) Likely Yes

Orrin G. Hatch (R - UT) Definitely Yes 2018 election seat

Dean Heller (R - NV) Definitely Yes 2018 election seat

John Hoeven (R - ND) Definitely Yes

Cindy Hyde-Smith (R - MS) Definitely Yes 2018 election seat

James M. Inhofe (R - OK) Definitely Yes

Johnny Isakson (R - GA) Likely Yes

Ron Johnson (R - WI) Likely Yes

John Kennedy (R - LA) Likely Yes

Jon Kyl (R - AZ) Likely Yes

James Lankford (R - OK) Likely Yes

Mike Lee (R - UT) Definitely Yes

John McCain (R - AZ) Definitely Yes

Mitch McConnell (R - KY) Definitely Yes

Jerry Moran (R - KS) Likely Yes

Lisa Murkowski (R - AK) Unknown

Rand Paul (R - KY) Definitely Yes

David Perdue (R - GA) Definitely Yes

Rob Portman (R - OH) Definitely Yes

Jim Risch (R - ID) Definitely Yes

Pat Roberts (R - KS) Definitely Yes

Mike Rounds (R - SD) Likely Yes

Marco Rubio (R - FL) Likely Yes

Ben Sasse (R - NE) Likely Yes

Tim Scott (R - SC) Definitely Yes

Richard C. Shelby (R - AL) Likely Yes

Dan Sullivan (R - AK) Definitely Yes

John Thune (R - SD) Likely Yes

Thom Tillis (R - NC) Likely Yes

Patrick J. Toomey (R - PA) Likely Yes

Roger Wicker (R - MS) Definitely Yes 2018 election seat

Todd Young (R - IN) Likely Yes

Tammy Baldwin (D - WI) Definitely No 2018 election seat

Michael Bennet (D - CO) Likely No

Richard Blumenthal (D - CT) Definitely No

Cory Booker (D - NJ) Definitely No

Sherrod Brown (D - OH) Definitely No 2018 election seat

Maria Cantwell (D - WA) Likely No 2018 election seat

Benjamin L. Cardin (D - MD) Definitely No 2018 election seat

Thomas R. Carper (D - DE) Definitely No 2018 election seat

Bob Casey (D - PA) Definitely No 2018 election seat

Christopher A. Coons (D - DE) Likely No

Catherine Cortez Masto (D - NV) Definitely No

Joe Donnelly (D - IN) Unknown 2018 election seat

Tammy Duckworth (D - IL) Definitely No

Richard J. Durbin (D - IL) Likely No

Dianne Feinstein (D - CA) Definitely No 2018 election seat

Kirsten E. Gillibrand (D - NY) Definitely No 2018 election seat

Kamala Harris (D - CA) Definitely No

Margaret Hassan (D - NH) Likely No

Martin Heinrich (D - NM) Definitely No 2018 election seat

Heidi Heitkamp (D - ND) Unknown 2018 election seat

Mazie K. Hirono (D - HI) Definitely No 2018 election seat

Doug Jones (D - AL) Unknown

Tim Kaine (D - VA) Definitely No 2018 election seat

Angus King (I - ME) Definitely No 2018 election seat

Amy Klobuchar (D - MN) Likely No 2018 election seat

Patrick J. Leahy (D - VT) Likely No

Joe Manchin III (D - WV) Unknown 2018 election seat

Edward J. Markey (D - MA) Definitely No

Claire McCaskill (D - MO) Definitely No 2018 election seat

Robert Menendez (D - NJ) Definitely No 2018 election seat

Jeff Merkley (D - OR) Definitely No

Christopher S. Murphy (D - CT) Definitely No 2018 election seat

Patty Murray (D - WA) Definitely No

Bill Nelson (D - FL) Likely No 2018 election seat

Gary Peters (D - MI) Definitely No

Jack Reed (D - RI) Definitely No

Bernard Sanders (I - VT) Definitely No 2018 election seat

Brian Schatz (D - HI) Definitely No

Charles E. Schumer (D - NY) Definitely No

Jeanne Shaheen (D - NH) Likely No

Tina Smith (D - MN) Definitely No 2018 election seat

Debbie Stabenow (D - MI) Definitely No 2018 election seat

Jon Tester (D - MT) Unknown 2018 election seat

Tom Udall (D - NM) Definitely No

Chris Van Hollen (D - MD) Definitely No

Mark Warner (D - VA) Likely No

Elizabeth Warren (D - MA) Definitely No 2018 election seat

Sheldon Whitehouse (D - RI) Likely No 2018 election seat

Ron Wyden (D - OR) Definitely No


SCOTUS Watch is especially indebted to two organizations.

ProPublica maintains a Congress API, allowing users to quickly access a wide array of information on American elected officials, including their dates of birth, party affiliation, seniority, next election year, contact information, social media handles, and much else besides. SCOTUS Watch uses this API extensively to provide additional context on senators who have made statements on the Supreme Court nominee.

VoteView.com tracks votes taken by U.S. senators and representatives and calculates their DW-NOMINATE scores, which represent an evaluation of an elected official's estimated ideological leaning. SCOTUS Watch uses these scores as one of its filtering criteria to allow users to sort the list of U.S. senators by their measured ideology.

For more information on DW-NOMINATE scores, visit the VoteView web site and the NOMINATE Wikipedia page.