Welcome to SCOTUS Watch.

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This site is brought to you by Jay Pinho and Victoria Kwan, the co-creators of SCOTUS Map.

What is this?

SCOTUS Watch tracks the public statements made by United States senators about how they plan to vote on the Supreme Court nominee, Brett Kavanaugh, and tallies them into a likely vote count. This tally is based solely on their statements: we do not make estimates or guesses based on a senator's party affiliation or ideology.

Note that this only includes statements made by senators after the identity of the nominee was announced. (So, for example, Senator Doug Jones' statement to CNN on Sunday, July 8th would not count, as Brett Kavanaugh had not yet been announced.)

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213 statements to date (HTML | JSON)

(Statements last updated August 11, 2018 05:30 PM -04:00.)
Nominee needs at least 50 votes*
Definitely Yes - 27👍
27
Likely Yes - 22🤷‍♂️👍
22
🤷‍♂️
9
🤷‍♂️
9
Likely No - 16🤷‍♂️👎
16
Definitely No - 26👎
26

* Although he is counted here, Senator John McCain is unlikely to vote due to illness. If all other senators vote, the nominee would need 50 votes to pass, 50-49. If Senator McCain is able to vote and the final tally is 50-50, Vice President Mike Pence would cast a tiebreaking vote in favor of the nominee.
Senators Definitely Yes👍 Likely Yes🤷‍♂️👍 Unknown🤷‍♂️ Likely No🤷‍♂️👎 Definitely No👎 Total
Males 24 21 5 10 17 77
Females 3 1 4 6 9 23
Democrats 0 0 7 16 26 49
Republicans 27 22 2 0 0 51
Next Election in 2018 5 4 6 7 13 35
Next Election in 2020 14 5 2 4 6 31
Next Election in 2022 8 13 1 5 7 34
Sort by: Caucus | Gender | Intent | Next Election | DW-NOMINATE Score | Most Recent Statement | Most Statements

Catherine Cortez Masto (D - NV) Likely No

Mazie K. Hirono (D - HI) Likely No 2018 election seat

Doug Jones (D - AL) Unknown

Lisa Murkowski (R - AK) Unknown

Joe Donnelly (D - IN) Unknown 2018 election seat

Heidi Heitkamp (D - ND) Unknown 2018 election seat

Charles E. Grassley (R - IA) Likely Yes

Orrin G. Hatch (R - UT) Definitely Yes 2018 election seat

Tom Cotton (R - AR) Definitely Yes

John Hoeven (R - ND) Definitely Yes

John Thune (R - SD) Definitely Yes

Roy Blunt (R - MO) Definitely Yes

Joe Manchin III (D - WV) Unknown 2018 election seat

Rand Paul (R - KY) Definitely Yes

Maria Cantwell (D - WA) Likely No 2018 election seat

Susan Collins (R - ME) Unknown

Ron Wyden (D - OR) Definitely No

Lamar Alexander (R - TN) Likely Yes

Richard Blumenthal (D - CT) Definitely No

Cory Gardner (R - CO) Definitely Yes

James M. Inhofe (R - OK) Definitely Yes

Pat Roberts (R - KS) Definitely Yes

John Barrasso (R - WY) Likely Yes 2018 election seat

Bill Cassidy (R - LA) Likely Yes

Joni Ernst (R - IA) Definitely Yes

Cindy Hyde-Smith (R - MS) Definitely Yes 2018 election seat

Tim Scott (R - SC) Definitely Yes

Cory Booker (D - NJ) Definitely No

Christopher A. Coons (D - DE) Likely No

John Cornyn (R - TX) Definitely Yes

Christopher S. Murphy (D - CT) Definitely No 2018 election seat

Elizabeth Warren (D - MA) Definitely No 2018 election seat

Shelley Moore Capito (R - WV) Definitely Yes

Jeff Flake (R - AZ) Likely Yes 2018 election seat

Rob Portman (R - OH) Definitely Yes

Ted Cruz (R - TX) Definitely Yes 2018 election seat

Tim Kaine (D - VA) Unknown 2018 election seat

Patty Murray (D - WA) Definitely No

Thomas R. Carper (D - DE) Definitely No 2018 election seat

Tammy Duckworth (D - IL) Definitely No

Richard J. Durbin (D - IL) Likely No

Michael B. Enzi (R - WY) Likely Yes

Dean Heller (R - NV) Definitely Yes 2018 election seat

Steve Daines (R - MT) Definitely Yes

Johnny Isakson (R - GA) Likely Yes

Todd Young (R - IN) Likely Yes

Bob Corker (R - TN) Likely Yes 2018 election seat

Bill Nelson (D - FL) Likely No 2018 election seat

Kirsten E. Gillibrand (D - NY) Definitely No 2018 election seat

Tammy Baldwin (D - WI) Definitely No 2018 election seat

Dianne Feinstein (D - CA) Definitely No 2018 election seat

Mitch McConnell (R - KY) Definitely Yes

Gary Peters (D - MI) Definitely No

Mike Rounds (R - SD) Likely Yes

Debbie Stabenow (D - MI) Definitely No 2018 election seat

Roger Wicker (R - MS) Definitely Yes 2018 election seat

Deb Fischer (R - NE) Likely Yes 2018 election seat

John Kennedy (R - LA) Likely Yes

Ben Sasse (R - NE) Likely Yes

Dan Sullivan (R - AK) Definitely Yes

Michael D. Crapo (R - ID) Likely Yes

Jeanne Shaheen (D - NH) Likely No

Bob Casey (D - PA) Definitely No 2018 election seat

Kamala Harris (D - CA) Definitely No

Angus King (I - ME) Likely No 2018 election seat

David Perdue (R - GA) Definitely Yes

Sheldon Whitehouse (D - RI) Likely No 2018 election seat

Michael Bennet (D - CO) Likely No

John Boozman (R - AR) Likely Yes

Sherrod Brown (D - OH) Likely No 2018 election seat

Richard M. Burr (R - NC) Likely Yes

Benjamin L. Cardin (D - MD) Definitely No 2018 election seat

Lindsey Graham (R - SC) Definitely Yes

Margaret Hassan (D - NH) Likely No

Martin Heinrich (D - NM) Definitely No 2018 election seat

Ron Johnson (R - WI) Likely Yes

Amy Klobuchar (D - MN) Likely No 2018 election seat

James Lankford (R - OK) Likely Yes

Patrick J. Leahy (D - VT) Likely No

Mike Lee (R - UT) Definitely Yes

Edward J. Markey (D - MA) Definitely No

John McCain (R - AZ) Definitely Yes

Claire McCaskill (D - MO) Unknown 2018 election seat

Robert Menendez (D - NJ) Definitely No 2018 election seat

Jeff Merkley (D - OR) Definitely No

Jerry Moran (R - KS) Likely Yes

Jack Reed (D - RI) Definitely No

Jim Risch (R - ID) Definitely Yes

Marco Rubio (R - FL) Likely Yes

Bernard Sanders (I - VT) Definitely No 2018 election seat

Brian Schatz (D - HI) Likely No

Charles E. Schumer (D - NY) Definitely No

Richard C. Shelby (R - AL) Likely Yes

Tina Smith (D - MN) Definitely No 2018 election seat

Jon Tester (D - MT) Unknown 2018 election seat

Thom Tillis (R - NC) Definitely Yes

Patrick J. Toomey (R - PA) Likely Yes

Tom Udall (D - NM) Definitely No

Chris Van Hollen (D - MD) Definitely No

Mark Warner (D - VA) Likely No

Acknowledgments

SCOTUS Watch is especially indebted to two organizations.

ProPublica maintains a Congress API, allowing users to quickly access a wide array of information on American elected officials, including their dates of birth, party affiliation, seniority, next election year, contact information, social media handles, and much else besides. SCOTUS Watch uses this API extensively to provide additional context on senators who have made statements on the Supreme Court nominee.

VoteView.com tracks votes taken by U.S. senators and representatives and calculates their DW-NOMINATE scores, which represent an evaluation of an elected official's estimated ideological leaning. SCOTUS Watch uses these scores as one of its filtering criteria to allow users to sort the list of U.S. senators by their measured ideology.

For more information on DW-NOMINATE scores, visit the VoteView web site and the NOMINATE Wikipedia page.